Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 367.197357 419.684131 479.061373 551.620526 638.452592 739.727150 867.808152
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 290.795962 358.048238 441.722367 555.116159 707.347884 908.463135 1200.863412
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 243.973125 314.804131 408.463005 544.388343 741.862795 1027.070059 1487.465447
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 215.737562 288.880786 390.429290 546.328291 788.416094 1166.248865 1836.687623
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 190.441400 262.494688 366.450851 533.429593 807.322824 1263.737406 2143.444544
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 172.686776 244.194327 350.963265 529.643093 837.964778 1384.641688 2527.024985
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 152.946413 220.474948 323.950859 502.652505 823.433578 1420.981106 2755.022889
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 146.439587 216.126367 326.382093 524.436152 898.275336 1640.773409 3451.706359
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 142.316913 214.926159 333.478782 554.971869 994.975167 1929.255413 4436.014588
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 133.597545 205.289950 325.179156 556.052348 1033.417386 2102.707945 5207.281091
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 123.220721 191.915536 308.958734 539.801150 1032.628603 2185.674804 5761.877174
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 114.328874 180.306375 294.692484 525.414243 1033.193712 2272.191377 6374.211287
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 110.518733 177.328811 295.986144 542.966196 1110.509294 2582.085158 7952.192255
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 105.149811 171.156658 290.781606 546.498459 1156.346268 2824.262947 9473.902465
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 98.623321 162.356136 279.717522 535.975662 1165.684520 2964.984547 10695.829371
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 94.155335 156.952586 274.662982 537.878241 1207.048058 3218.277788 12665.134448
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 88.517605 148.953677 263.771440 525.227714 1207.589290 3341.435946 14112.535617
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 84.294407 143.317751 257.117696 521.513787 1232.047516 3556.150317 16315.605801
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 78.176963 133.676684 241.561262 495.036753 1187.527064 3511.338755 16910.165728
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 77.065605 133.604237 245.709178 516.406434 1286.612332 4042.647307 22085.888389
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 76.693673 134.933537 252.900810 546.354702 1419.622119 4780.047977 30373.240748
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 73.890176 131.221418 248.936099 547.414245 1461.974737 5155.826194 36420.501738
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 69.940870 124.957399 238.914578 531.476865 1445.247181 5256.631427 39942.018249